The (paraphrased) saying goes. "one death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic.
The bruhaha over the Lancet study sure proves that saying. A bunch of eggheads arguing with each other over how to properly extrapolate numbers from data points.
My guess is that not a single one of these statisticians, pro or con, have been over here on the ground. And if they haven't been over here, it's unlikely they know anything about the level of confidence they should have in any of the numbers.
Be it 60,000 or 600,000 deaths, let's not forget that these are people, not numbers. Lives, not statistics. Families, not data points.